TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Mobile Legends: Bang Bang match between two esports teams competing in a major tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the market accordingly based on official resolutions.
The market resolves based on the result of the MPL Indonesia 2026 match between Bigetron by Vitality and Natus Vincere, scheduled for October 18, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If Bigetron by Vitality wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Natus Vincere's market resolves to No, and vice versa for a Natus Vincere victory. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand among traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, the crowd on Kalshi can dynamically adjust those probabilities based on new information and sentiment, offering a unique comparison point.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the outcome will occur) and ask to sell 'no' contracts (believing it won't). The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective assessment of participants regarding the likelihood of each possible result in the Bigetron vs. Na'Vi match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Bigetron vs. Na'Vi match as determined by the event organizers. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the official release of the match results, but will occur as soon as reasonably possible following Oct 18, 2026.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Bigetron or Na'Vi could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussion, could lead to noticeable price movements in this market before Oct 18, 2026.