TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Women’s Big Bash League cricket match between the Melbourne Stars and the Hobart Hurricanes, scheduled for October 29, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of the leading outcome—that either the Melbourne Stars or Hobart Hurricanes will win—is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. A secondary outcome, regarding whether the match will be completed, has a 98.0% probability. Resolution will be based on official statistics from bigbash.com.au. Keep an eye on October 29, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and will determine the outcome of this market.
This market refers to the cricket match between Melbourne Stars and Hobart Hurricanes scheduled for October 29 2026 at 4:10 AM ET in Big Bash League, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they are declared the official winner of the match by the governing league. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, the market resolves based on that result.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated. However, sportsbooks often offer more diverse betting options than are available in this market. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can quickly move the price, particularly given the current volume. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential market movements.