TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Bielefeld and Osnabruck. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Bielefeld wins, Osnabruck wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Bielefeld vs Osnabruck professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team immediately resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes as a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Bielefeld vs Osnabruck match. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Osnabruck will win, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative prediction market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Bielefeld vs Osnabruck match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bielefeld or Osnabruck would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, are additional catalysts. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also influence trading activity in this market.