TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia and Makassar. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia, Makassar, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia versus Makassar professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia wins, the 'Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia' market resolves to Yes. If Makassar wins, the 'Makassar' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders adjust their positions based on available data and analysis. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia versus Makassar match in the Indonesian Liga 1. The final score, as reported by official league sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, updates on player form, and even weather conditions on match day can all impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Monitoring these signals can help to anticipate potential market movements.