TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, BetBoom and Team Spirit, will compete in a match scheduled for October 24, 2026. This market focuses on determining which team will secure victory on the second map of their best-of-three series.
The market resolves based on the outcome of map 2 in the specified Dota 2 match. If BetBoom Team wins map 2, that market resolves to Yes for BetBoom Team and No for Team Spirit, and vice versa if Team Spirit wins. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves at fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s worth comparing the implied probability of a BetBoom Team win in this market to what sportsbooks are offering to see if any discrepancies exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning Map 2. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically adjusts the odds. The current price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a specific team winning, and the market efficiently reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of Map 2 in the BetBoom Team vs. Team Spirit match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed of any potential developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either BetBoom Team or Team Spirit could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even in-game performance during Map 1, could also impact the odds. Major upsets or dominant performances by either team would likely cause substantial movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions.