TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Turkey BSL basketball game between Besiktas and Trabzonspor. The markets resolve to either Besiktas winning or Trabzonspor winning the game. Postponement or cancellation scenarios are also addressed.
In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for October 5 at 12:00PM ET: If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas". If the Trabzonspor win, the market will resolve to "Trabzonspor". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Markets resolve based on the official winner of the Trabzonspor Basketbol vs Besiktas JK game scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not associated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective predictions of individuals who have 'skin in the game,' incentivizing more accurate forecasts. This often leads to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, though discrepancies can still occur, especially before significant trading volume builds. The current volume of $167,377 suggests growing interest in this event.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive expertise, leading to distinct price discovery processes. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $167,377 – influences price stability and responsiveness to new information. Different fee structures or trading limits on Polymarket versus Kalshi can also contribute to price discrepancies, even when both markets address the same underlying event.