TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 30, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This match will see Bermuda compete against Saint Lucia in a professional soccer contest. The result will be decided based on which team achieves a win within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the result of the Bermuda vs Saint Lucia professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. A win for Bermuda resolves the 'Bermuda' market to Yes; a win for Saint Lucia resolves the 'Saint Lucia' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count towards resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply because the crowd on Kalshi has a unique take on the likely outcome of the Bermuda vs Saint Lucia match. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations regarding the Bermuda vs Saint Lucia match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Bermuda vs Saint Lucia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the final outcome. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, providing confidence in the fairness of the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.