TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Bermuda and Barbados. It focuses on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes are determined based on specific goal-difference thresholds for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Bermuda vs Barbados professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Bermuda winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bermuda winning by more than 1.5 goals, Barbados winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Barbados winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific outcome that matches the actual result; if none match, all resolve to 'No'. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team strengths, player form, or external factors influencing the outcome of the Bermuda vs Barbados cricket match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bermuda vs Barbados cricket match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit when their forecasts are correct. The spread itself is determined by the collective bids and asks of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Bermuda vs Barbados cricket match as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes. This allows for a clear and transparent determination of winning and losing contracts based on the actual match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about pitch conditions or strategic changes by either team could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the market, reflecting evolving expectations about the Bermuda vs Barbados cricket match.