TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bermuda vs. Barbados
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bermuda vs. Barbados?

Volume:
$924,469

Barbados

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 9:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Barbados

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$352,903
N/A
N/A
$163,910
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barbados

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bermuda

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,058
N/A
N/A
$104,420
Settled
No
polymarket

Bermuda

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205,315
N/A
N/A
$72,654
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bermuda vs. Barbados)

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Bermuda and Barbados, scheduled for October 5, 2026, within the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the consensus probability of Barbados winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://www.concacaf.com/. Be sure to monitor the Concacaf website for any official announcements regarding the match on October 5, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' if the game is cancelled, while Kalshi does not specify this outcome.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is provided, relying on standard sports resolution procedures.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Bermuda and Barbados.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Bermuda vs Barbados professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bermuda wins, the 'Bermuda' market resolves to Yes; if Barbados wins, the 'Barbados' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets are exclusively determined by the result within regulation time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty kicks, or post-match events. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Bermuda vs. Barbados match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a high probability of a draw, with Polymarket assigning a chance of around 96%. Total volume across both platforms is $924,469, with $874,346 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match’s result and profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those for this market, often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs. However, liquidity – the volume of trading – can affect the accuracy of prediction market prices, and this market currently has volume of $924,469.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity of this market on each platform – currently $924,469 overall – can influence price formation. Polymarket currently favors a draw at approximately 96%, while Kalshi leans toward Barbados winning. These differences demonstrate how diverse perspectives can shape market prices across different venues.