TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between Beograd and Crvena Zvezda. The market focuses on determining the winner after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It provides a clear framework for resolving based on the match's immediate result.
The event resolves based on the result of the Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer game scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Beograd wins, the 'Beograd' market resolves to Yes. If Crvena Zvezda wins, the 'Crvena Zvezda' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage, with no account for extra time or penalty procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, this market might show a more nuanced view, particularly if there’s strong support for the underdog. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value and potential outcomes of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Serbian basketball rivalry. Traders can adjust their positions based on new information and changing perceptions, influencing the market price in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between Beograd and Crvena Zvezda, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market will determine which team is declared the winner of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance in preceding games would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also influence trader sentiment. Public statements from players or coaches, particularly those expressing confidence or concern, might also move the market. Finally, any unexpected events impacting the game's logistics, such as venue changes or weather conditions, could introduce uncertainty and affect trading activity in this market.