TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which professional basketball team Bennedict Mathurin will join next before a specific date in 2026. It covers all possible outcomes, including scenarios where he retires or remains unsigned, providing a comprehensive view of his potential career moves.
The market resolves based on Bennedict Mathurin's official team affiliation status before October 21, 2026. If he signs with a specific team—whether as a free agent or through a new contract—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Staying with his original team at the resolution date also triggers a Yes outcome for that team. Early resolution occurs only if his retirement or unsigned status is officially announced and reported by the governing league or a source agency before the deadline. Contract extensions or re-signings with the same team do not trigger early resolution. All transactions must be officially reported to validate the market outcome.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time data flow and can diverge from sportsbook pricing due to different participant motivations. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting patterns, this market focuses on informed trader positioning. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear more volatile or nuanced, especially around key news events or performance updates that influence trader expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks that determine the current probability. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of traders on that platform alone, influenced by recent performance data, trade volume of $15,563, and emerging news about Mathurin’s career.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the team Mathurin is officially signed with at that point, based on announcements from verified team or league sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 21, 2026. Strong individual performances, trade rumors, or coaching decisions may sway trader views rapidly. Injuries or changes in team depth charts can also reshape expectations overnight. As the season progresses, updated statistics and playoff implications may drive volume spikes. Any official announcement regarding roster moves will likely produce immediate adjustments in pricing on Kalshi.