TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 09d:23h:24m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Benin and the Central African Republic in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets exist for Benin winning, Central African Republic winning, and the game ending in a draw.
In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Benin and Central African Republic, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If Benin wins the Benin vs Central African Republic professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Central African Republic wins the Benin vs Central African Republic professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Benin vs Central African Republic professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and may have different margins or promotional offers. The current volume of $0 suggests growing interest in this event.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to independent price discovery. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and liquidity provision across Polymarket and Kalshi can contribute to price discrepancies. These differences are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 12, 2026, once the official result of the Benin vs. Central African Republic match is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public reporting, such as official sports news outlets and league standings. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the established rules of the market, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Benin or Central African Republic could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location might also influence the outcome and, consequently, market prices. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader shifts in public sentiment regarding team performance could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key for informed trading.