TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds (W)
Volume:
$176,199
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Belmont Bruins and Illinois State Redbirds scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Both platforms are betting on the same binary outcome: which team wins the game. The resolution hinges on the final score including overtime, with provisions for postponement and cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's published resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: it states both a Belmont win AND an Illinois State win both resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary event. This represents either a critical documentation error or a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the resolution logic is clarified directly with the platform. The statement that both outcomes resolve to Yes is logically impossible. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is clear and tradeable. Assume Kalshi intended standard binary logic but verify before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Belmont win resolves to Belmont Bruins, Illinois State win resolves to Illinois State Redbirds. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Published logic states both Illinois St. win AND Belmont win both resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. This contradicts standard binary market design and suggests either a documentation error or unspecified tiebreaker logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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