TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional hockey game between two teams, determining which team secures a victory. The result depends solely on the final score of the match, with specific guidelines for handling postponements or cancellations.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the professional AHL hockey game between the Belleville Senators and the Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the Belleville Senators win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the opposing market resolves to No. Conversely, if the Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins win, their market resolves to Yes, and the opposing market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final result of the actually played game. However, if the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or undervaluing certain outcomes. This comparison can be a useful tool for informed decision-making, though it doesn't guarantee predictive accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Belleville Senators versus Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens. This creates a market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Belleville Senators versus Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive their payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Belleville Senators or Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by sports analysts’ predictions or media coverage, could lead to price fluctuations. Late-breaking news about goaltender matchups or special teams performance could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations.