TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bears
Volume:
$1,772,391
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Bellarmine Knights and Central Arkansas Bears scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5), and three over/under total score lines (154.5, 155.5, 156.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Central Arkansas win or Bellarmine win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner exposure. Spread and total markets across both platforms are logically consistent and should resolve normally based on final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical contradiction: 'If Central Arkansas wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bellarmine wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes in a binary market. This makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive outcomes: 'Bellarmine Knights' if Bellarmine wins, 'Central Arkansas Bears' if Central Arkansas wins. Includes proper edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Logically sound.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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