TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Belize and French Guiana. The outcomes depend on the total number of goals accumulated by both teams during regular play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Belize vs French Guiana professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, counting only those scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, and explicitly excluding any goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold for resolution: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that specific market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. These markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As a result, the implied probabilities in this market can sometimes differ significantly from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from underlying probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in the Belize vs French Guiana match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and information, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective forecast. The market’s depth and liquidity are also visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Belize vs French Guiana match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market history, and winning contracts will be automatically settled according to the platform’s rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, can drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the total goals scored is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.