TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 6:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Türkiye. The market considers goals scored only in the second half of regular play, including stoppage time, to determine the winner, a draw, or the losing team.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Türkiye, scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Belgium and Türkiye score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Belgium in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Türkiye, scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Belgium and Türkiye score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Belgium in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds influenced by expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust based on real-money wagers and information flow, potentially revealing insights not immediately captured by conventional bookmakers.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights, leading to different price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price movements; lower volume can result in greater price volatility. Different fee structures and trading interfaces could also contribute to the observed price discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics on each platform, even when tracking the same underlying event – the Belgium vs. Türkiye second half.