TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Belgium vs. Italy
🌟New
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Belgium vs. Italy?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$538
0.46%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Belgium

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 13d:06h:04m

Belgium wins

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 13 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belgium

Trade
N/A
N/A
72¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
Active
polymarket

Belgium

Trade
49%
Yes 74¢No 77¢
51¢
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 3h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 61.5¢Max: 72¢
kalshi

Italy

Trade
N/A
N/A
55¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
Active
polymarket

Italy

Trade
26%
Yes 47¢No 95¢
42¢
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 3h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 48.5¢Max: 55¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
62¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Belgium vs. Italy)

Trade
31%
Yes 56¢No 95¢
51¢
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 3h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 56.5¢Max: 62¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Belgium and Italy scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets ask whether Belgium, Italy, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed abandonment rules and a resolution deadline, while Kalshi lacks these provisions, potentially leading to different outcomes in cases of game disruption.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's rules could lead to a 'No' resolution in scenarios where Kalshi would still resolve based on the game as played (if any play occurred).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Detailed abandonment rules apply.
  • Kalshi: If Belgium wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Italy wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result, the market resolves to Yes. No explicit rules for abandonment or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Italy, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Belgium vs Italy professional UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for November 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Belgium wins, the 'Belgium' market resolves to Yes; if Italy wins, the 'Italy' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Belgium vs. Italy match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard combines data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of predictions for this event, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. It’s a central place to monitor the evolving probabilities as Nov 15, 2026 approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind them. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects what participants believe will happen, creating a demand-driven price. Sportsbooks may also incorporate subjective factors or biases, whereas prediction markets tend to be more objective, though market-specific factors can still influence pricing. This can lead to discrepancies, and sometimes, prediction markets are more accurate.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Belgium vs. Italy match, as determined by the governing football association. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions shortly after the match concludes and the official result is available. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.

Several signals could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Belgium or Italy would likely have a substantial impact. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach, or changes in expected starting lineups, could also move the market. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches that affect the teams’ motivation or strategic approach could also be a catalyst. Finally, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, may influence trading activity.