TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately reflected in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, you might see differences between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences between the two types of markets. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Belarus vs. San Marino match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for the market's settlement. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available data for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match’s conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can also move the market. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause short-term price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome.