TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Belarus and San Marino, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belarus" if Belarus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Marino" if San Marino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Belarus and San Marino, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belarus" if Belarus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Marino" if San Marino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Predict and sportsbook odds, it might indicate the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the current implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand from users of Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Belarus vs. San Marino match. The outcome will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sources. The resolution will reflect the first goal scored, or a determination that neither team scored first if no goal is scored during the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Predict could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals leading up to Oct 3, 2026 can provide insights into how the market is evolving and what factors are driving its direction.