TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Belarus vs. Italy
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Belarus vs. Italy?

Volume:
$333,456

Italy

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Italy

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,713
N/A
N/A
$30,947
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Belarus

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,357
N/A
N/A
$114,549
Settled
No
polymarket

Belarus

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,002
N/A
N/A
$41,374
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Belarus vs. Italy)

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a FIFA Women's World Cup Qualifier match between Belarus and Italy scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Belarus winning, Italy winning, or the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market, while Kalshi resolves all outcomes to 'Yes' if a win or draw occurs.Hero tip: If you believe the game will be canceled, consider the implications for your positions on each platform. Polymarket's draw market benefits from cancellation, while Kalshi's win markets do not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market. Resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources like Flashscore and Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: If Belarus wins, Italy wins, or the game is a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Yes'. There is no explicit mention of cancellation resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Belarus and Italy.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Belarus vs Italy professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Belarus vs. Italy match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $333,456, with $320,325 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the event's potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities from each platform, providing insights into where traders see the most value. This is a good place to see how opinions on the Belarus vs. Italy match are evolving.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This market, for example, reflects the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting strategies than traditional sportsbooks. These factors can lead to discrepancies, and sometimes, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds.