TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Belarus and Finland. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Belarus vs Finland UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time—but not including extra time or penalties—must exceed the stated threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's often insightful to compare the two to gauge public versus expert sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on it. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific result in the Belarus vs Finland match.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Belarus vs Finland match will be the determining factor. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final score, including any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but excluding penalty shootouts if applicable. The market will then settle based on which contract corresponds to the actual total goals scored.
Several factors could influence the Belarus vs Finland goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by the coaches, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in expected gameplay, could influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert predictions, could also cause the market to react.