TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland. The market considers goals scored only in the second half, including stoppage time, with a draw possible if both teams score the same number of goals. Cancellation or postponement rules are also defined.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belarus" if Belarus score more goals than Finland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Belarus and Finland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland score more goals than Belarus in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belarus" if Belarus score more goals than Finland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Belarus and Finland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland score more goals than Belarus in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Belarus vs. Finland second half can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can contribute to these discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform is different; Polymarket may have a higher concentration of informed traders, while Predict might be more susceptible to broader public opinion. These variations create opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to profit from price differences.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift predictions. Unexpected events during the first half of the match, such as red cards or early goals, would likely cause significant price movement. Public sentiment, as reflected by social media trends and expert opinions, can also play a role, especially on Predict. A large volume of trades on either Polymarket or Predict could also indicate a shift in market consensus, potentially driven by new information or a change in trader confidence.