TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result of a soccer match between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Belarus, Finland, or a draw will be leading at halftime, based on the score at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It's common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Belarus vs. Finland match. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings based on a few large trades. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can buy and sell – differ between the platforms, influencing how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into the odds.