TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
Two national football teams engage in a 90-minute contest, where goals from both sides are tallied to establish the match's final score.
If Belarus and Finland both score a goal in the Belarus vs Finland UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Belarus vs Finland match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of that probability. The market's depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – indicates the level of agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Belarus and Finland score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The result will be based on the final score of the game, and any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Belarus or Finland would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy could also shift the price. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to potential mispricings and influence trading on Kalshi.