TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Belarus vs. Finland
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Belarus vs. Finland?

Volume:
$688,287

Belarus

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belarus

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,744
N/A
N/A
$65,811
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belarus

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BELA

View
99%
75%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,943
$7,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
3%
26%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$196
$42,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,732
N/A
N/A
$50,062
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Belarus vs. Finland)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FIN

View
1%
47%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$167
$26,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Finland

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,500
N/A
N/A
$126,117
Settled
No
polymarket

Finland

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026, asking which team will win—or if the game will end in a draw—within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Belarus winning is 99.5%. This forecast aggregates data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the result of the game as defined by the official rules. Keep an eye on October 6, 2026, as that is when the game is scheduled to conclude and the market will resolve based on the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi keeps the market open.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading, particularly on Polymarket's draw market. A cancellation could lead to unexpected resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Win markets resolve to 'No'. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, or Sofascore as secondary sources.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the market remains open until the game is completed. Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Belarus and Finland.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Belarus vs Finland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Belarus resolves the 'Belarus' market to Yes; a win for Finland resolves the 'Finland' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Belarus and Finland.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, to provide a consensus view on the outcome of the Belarus vs. Finland match. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $688,287, with $662,375 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how traders are collectively pricing the probability of different results. The dashboard tracks the probabilities as expressed by the markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for this sporting event.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and wider availability. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more informed perspective on the Belarus vs. Finland match.