TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Belarus vs. Albania
🌟New
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Belarus vs. Albania?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$518
0.03%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Belarus

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:21h:49m

Belarus wins

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 63¢ buys you 159 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $159 | Net Profit: $59 Multiplier: 1.59x | ROI: 59% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belarus

Trade
N/A
N/A
57¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 21h
Active
polymarket

Belarus

Trade
33%
Yes 58¢No 93¢
51¢
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 54¢Max: 57¢
kalshi

Albania

Trade
N/A
N/A
47¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 21h
Active
polymarket

Albania

Trade
35%
Yes 60¢No 91¢
51¢
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 49¢Max: 51¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
58¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 21h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Belarus vs. Albania)

Trade
34%
Yes 59¢No 92¢
51¢
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 54.5¢Max: 58¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Belarus and Albania scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets ask whether Belarus will win, Albania will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution relies on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes extensive no-result and abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks these, potentially leading to different resolutions in cases of game cancellation or abandonment.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's market may resolve to 'No' under scenarios where Kalshi's market would still be open or potentially resolve based on an awarded result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Detailed abandonment rules apply.
  • Kalshi: If Belarus wins or Albania wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to "Yes". No explicit rules for cancellation or abandonment are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Albania, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Belarus vs Albania UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 15, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: Belarus win, Albania win, or draw (tie). If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for participants under exceptional circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Belarus vs. Albania match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the likely result of the game, reflecting the predictions of a diverse group of traders. The dashboard provides a combined view of the market, showing how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available. This is a valuable tool for anyone interested in understanding the perceived chances of each team winning.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from sportsbook expectations. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, prediction markets are driven by actual money at stake, incentivizing accurate predictions. The difference in odds can present opportunities for arbitrage between the two.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, liquidity, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially unique insights, leading to differing opinions on the probability of each outcome. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $0 overall – can influence price discovery. Market makers and arbitrageurs may also contribute to price discrepancies as they attempt to profit from temporary imbalances between the two venues. These factors create dynamic pricing that reflects the collective intelligence of each platform’s traders.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Belarus vs. Albania match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data shortly after the match concludes and the result is verified.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Belarus or Albania would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Broader factors like weather conditions expected during the match and any geopolitical events impacting team morale or travel could play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate new information or a change in market expectations.