TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Beşiktaş JK and Kocaelispor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kocaelispor" if Kocaelispor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Beşiktaş JK and Kocaelispor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK" if Beşiktaş JK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kocaelispor" if Kocaelispor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of either team scoring first. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team to score first, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered in determining the outcome. The official match result, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will serve as the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Beşiktaş JK or Kocaelispor would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact predictions. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might move the market. Finally, significant betting activity itself, driven by new information or shifts in sentiment, can also cause price fluctuations.