TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:13 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 22 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 22 at 3:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information and diverse opinions enter the system. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the market's belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Beşiktaş vs. Crystal Palace match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the official scoreline. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, general news about team performance in recent matches, or even broader football-related news, could affect trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches might also cause traders to reassess their predictions for the Beşiktaş vs. Crystal Palace match, leading to price fluctuations.