TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Beijing Royal Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Royal Fighters". If the Jiangsu Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Jiangsu Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Beijing Royal Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Royal Fighters". If the Jiangsu Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Jiangsu Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or access to unique information. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than those found at sportsbooks. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand, with no external factors influencing the valuation. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Beijing Royal Fighters versus Jiangsu Dragons game, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in prior games, or shifts in public perception of team strengths, could also influence the market. Major announcements related to game conditions, such as venue changes or weather impacts, could also cause price fluctuations. Overall team form and recent head-to-head results are likely to be closely monitored by traders, driving changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.