TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Beijing Guoan and Qingdao West Coast FC. The market focuses on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Outcomes are based strictly on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast FC professional Chinese Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Beijing Guoan or Qingdao West Coast FC wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while a 'Tie' outcome resolves to Yes if the game ends level after the same period. The markets exclusively consider regular-time results and do not account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation resolutions. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform’s rules. The event explicitly excludes any association with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information access and incentives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price discovery, and currently, the 24-hour volume is $104,024.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Beijing Guoan versus Qingdao West Coast FC match in the Chinese Super League. The official result, including any potential postponements or cancellations, will be used to determine the winning contract. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or stadium closures could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even public statements from key players could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.