TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:00 AM EST
Predict
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more people participate, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see differences, especially as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous process of buying and selling. Traders place orders to buy 'yes' or 'no' shares, effectively betting on the outcome of the event. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of a particular outcome, and provides a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The more volume traded, the more confidence traders have in the price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Beijing Guoan vs. Qingdao match will be used to determine the winning side in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events on Predict.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either the Beijing Guoan or Qingdao Xihaian FC could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders' opinions, leading to shifts in the price of shares. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess overall team performance and potential outcomes.