TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Beijing Guoan FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Beijing Guoan vs. Qingdao match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of information regarding the match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Beijing Guoan or Qingdao Xihaian FC could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also contribute to price movements in this market.