TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome of the Beijing Guoan vs. Qingdao match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest collective intelligence. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Beijing Guoan vs. Qingdao match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning share(s). Resolution will occur after the completion of the match and the official score is publicly available. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will be entitled to a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either the Beijing Guoan or Qingdao Xihaian FC could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general sentiment and public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly influence this market as traders reassess probabilities.