TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Beijing Ducks
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 18h:13m:53s
$
This group resolves to which team wins the CBA basketball game between the Beijing Ducks and the Ningbo Rockets on November 3rd. The markets specify resolution based on the final score, including overtime, and have contingency plans for postponements or cancellations.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the Ningbo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Ningbo Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between the Ningbo Rockets and Beijing Ducks scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 6:35 AM EST. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result once the game concludes. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the Ningbo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Ningbo Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, focusing on the Chinese Basketball Association, demonstrates how prediction markets can offer an alternative perspective. Generally, prediction markets tend to have lower transaction costs and can incorporate a wider range of information, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery than traditional betting venues.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Chinese Basketball Association. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to tighter, more efficient pricing. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to price discrepancies. Currently, Beijing Ducks vs. Ningbo Rockets leads across both platforms, but subtle differences in trader sentiment can still cause price variations.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 10, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Beijing Ducks versus Ningbo Rockets game, verified against credible public reporting from official league sources. The final score and confirmed winner will be used to settle this market. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the outcome and how it relates to their positions. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable determination of the market’s result based on real-world events.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in other recent games by either the Beijing Ducks or Ningbo Rockets could also shift trader sentiment. Public statements from team personnel or analysts, as well as any external factors affecting team morale, could also contribute to price movements. The 24-hour volume is currently $4,297, suggesting ongoing responsiveness to new information.