TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional league soccer encounter pits two teams against each other, with the match outcome determined exclusively by the score after the full regulation time, disregarding any subsequent playoff phases. The final whistle will conclude the competitive test between these clubs.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Be`er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem professional Israeli Premier League soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Be`er Sheva wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Hapoel Jerusalem wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changing circumstances than traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Be`er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. The goal is to create a market where the prices accurately reflect the true probabilities of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Be`er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem match, as determined by official league standings and publicly available data. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Be`er Sheva or Hapoel Jerusalem could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant news about the teams outside of the sporting context, could also influence trading activity. Shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and fan discussions, may also move the market as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team.