TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bears vs. Seahawks - First Touchdown Scorer
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Bears vs. Seahawks?

Total volume:
$680,322
Volume 24h:
$639,720
1,864%
Liquidity:
$19,412
48,310%
Open interest:
$675,546
1,593%

D'Andre Swift

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 06h:58m:29s

D'Andre Swift: 1st Touchdown

15%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 15¢ buys you 667 shares | Odds: 15% Total Payout: $667 | Net Profit: $567 Multiplier: 6.67x | ROI: 567% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

D'Andre Swift

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$26,056
1,790%
N/A
$25,637
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

D'Andre Swift

Trade
28%
Yes 55¢No 99¢
54¢
$1,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
Avg: 27.5¢Max: 54¢
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$109,574
2,392%
N/A
$108,204
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Trade
47%
Yes 92¢No 99¢
91¢
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
Avg: 46¢Max: 91¢
kalshi

Zach Charbonnet

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$115,214
26,400%
N/A
$114,861
9h 58m
Active
polymarket

Zach Charbonnet

Trade
54%
Yes 99¢No 91¢
90¢
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
Avg: 45.5¢Max: 90¢
kalshi

Luther Burden III

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$43,844
3,582%
N/A
$43,436
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Luther Burden III

Trade
27%
Yes 53¢No 99¢
52¢
$1,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
Avg: 26.5¢Max: 52¢
kalshi

AJ Barner

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$55,960
19,615%
N/A
$54,218
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

AJ Barner

Trade
49%
Yes 96¢No 99¢
95¢
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
Avg: 48¢Max: 95¢
kalshi

Cooper Kupp

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$20,547
4,130%
N/A
$20,495
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Cooper Kupp

Trade
49%
Yes 96¢No 99¢
95¢
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
Avg: 48¢Max: 95¢
kalshi

Rome Odunze

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$19,702
14,814%
N/A
$19,632
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Rome Odunze

Trade
47%
Yes 92¢No 99¢
91¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
Avg: 46.5¢Max: 91¢
kalshi

Colston Loveland

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$81,649
9,462%
N/A
$81,649
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Colston Loveland

Trade
27%
Yes 53¢No 99¢
52¢
$1,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
Avg: 26.5¢Max: 52¢
kalshi

Emanuel Wilson

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$41,872
55%
N/A
$41,572
9h 58m
Active
polymarket

Emanuel Wilson

Trade
48%
Yes 95¢No 99¢
94¢
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
Avg: 47.5¢Max: 94¢
kalshi

Caleb Williams

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$61,917
1,384%
N/A
$61,894
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Caleb Williams

Trade
3%
46%
Yes 5¢No 99.8¢
4.8¢
$6,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 4.8¢
kalshi

Tory Horton

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$12,111
0%
N/A
$12,082
6h 58m
Active
polymarket

Tory Horton

Trade
46%
Yes 91¢No 99¢
90¢
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
Avg: 45.5¢Max: 90¢
kalshi

Roschon Johnson

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$2,894
0%
N/A
$2,894
9h 58m
Active
polymarket

Roschon Johnson

Trade
24%
25%
Yes 48¢No 99.8¢
47.8¢
$1,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
Avg: 24.4¢Max: 47.8¢
kalshi

CHI Bears D/ST

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$9,027
0%
N/A
$9,027
6h 58m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 42

Description

This prediction group asks who will score the first touchdown in the NFL game between the Chicago Bears and the Seattle Seahawks on November 2, 2026. Multiple markets exist, one for each potential player, plus markets for defensive/special teams touchdowns and 'any other player'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on the official NFL game book and excluding defensive/special teams touchdowns.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL game book as published on NFL.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The first rushing or receiving touchdown scored in the game determines the winner.
  • Defensive and special teams touchdowns are excluded.
  • Overtime is included in the determination.
  • If a player is inactive, their market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely, individual player markets resolve to 'No', and the 'any other player' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Passing Touchdown: If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the conclusion of the game, based on the official NFL game book.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

First Touchdown Scorer markets for Bears vs. Seahawks.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other participant markets resolve to No. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive team field goals do not qualify for any of the participant markets, ensuring that only standard offensive plays count toward resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate sentiment around the first touchdown scorer market for the Bears versus Seahawks game. It displays a consensus view of probabilities based on trading volume across both platforms, currently totaling volume of $667,136 with $601,799 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies, and how that belief is changing over time. The dashboard provides a unified view of this market, despite potential price differences between the venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets are known for their accuracy, sometimes even exceeding sportsbook predictions, and can offer a valuable comparative data point for informed betting.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Irvin Charles score the first touchdown? at 91.0%, while Kalshi leans toward D'Andre Swift: 1st Touchdown at 15.0%. Differences in liquidity and the timing of trades can also contribute to temporary price discrepancies. Arbitrage opportunities may arise, encouraging traders to exploit these differences and bring prices back into alignment, but these are often short-lived.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will verify this information against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official game results following the conclusion of the Bears versus Seahawks game to understand the resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even strategic adjustments announced by either team could all shift probabilities. Unexpected news about a player's health, such as a key receiver being ruled out, would likely cause a reassessment of potential touchdown scorers. Additionally, any significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate a shift in market sentiment and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on evolving information.