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$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bears and Falcons, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bears and Falcons, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of player performance in the Bears-Falcons game. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player prop outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, indicates the market’s estimated chance of that player exceeding their prop total. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds closely align with the perceived likelihood of each event happening during the Bears-Falcons matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final statistics for the Bears-Falcons player props are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game data, ensuring accuracy and transparency. The platform will then determine which shares payout based on whether the player prop occurred as defined by official statistics. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Bears or Falcons would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact player performance expectations and move the market. Finally, any significant news or analysis regarding coaching strategies or team matchups could also influence traders’ beliefs and lead to price adjustments in this market on Polymarket.