TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BC Vienna vs. Zadar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of BC Vienna vs. Zadar?

Volume:
$32,018

BC Vienna

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

BC Vienna

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,621
N/A
N/A
$11,163
Settled
Yes
polymarket

BC Vienna (-2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

BC Vienna vs. Zadar

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KK Zadar

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,593
N/A
N/A
$7,689
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 162.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between BC Vienna and Zadar in the ABA League. Users are predicting which team will win the game, with potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms disagree on the game date, creating a significant timing risk and potential for market invalidation.Hero tip: Avoid taking strong positions on Kalshi until the date discrepancy is resolved. Polymarket appears to be referencing a near-term game, while Kalshi references a game in 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the outcome of the ABA League game on October 16 at 11:00AM ET. If the game is canceled, it resolves 50-50. "If the BC Vienna win, the market will resolve to "BC Vienna". If the Zadar win, the market will resolve to "Zadar".
  • Kalshi: The market resolves based on the outcome of the ABA League game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT. If BC Vienna or Zadar wins, the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 16 at 11:00AM ET: If the BC Vienna win, the market will resolve to "BC Vienna". If the Zadar win, the market will resolve to "Zadar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated Adriatic ABA basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates forecasts on the outcome of the BC Vienna vs. Zadar game. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a strong expectation for one result. Total volume across both venues is $32,018, with $31,148 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the game’s result and profit from correctly anticipating the final outcome. The dashboard provides a centralized view of the market, showing price movements and trading activity on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management more heavily, while prediction markets tend to focus more purely on the probability of an event occurring. This market’s odds may diverge from sportsbooks due to differing information or interpretations of available data. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can buy and sell contracts—differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, influencing how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into the price. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.