TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in a match where the outcome determines the winner based on the final score. The game is part of a recognized league and follows standard basketball rules.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, at the stated time. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the BC Slovan Bratislava vs KK Cibona game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even shifts in public sentiment and betting trends, could also move the market. Major upsets in other related games, or even weather conditions that might affect gameplay, could also influence trader behavior and shift the odds before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.