TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 4 at 10:00AM ET: If the BC Roma SPQR win, the market will resolve to "BC Roma SPQR". If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 4 at 10:00AM ET: If the BC Roma SPQR win, the market will resolve to "BC Roma SPQR". If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how traders’ collective wisdom differs from traditional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of individuals. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information access, or simply the wisdom of the crowd effect. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Italian basketball game, specifically which team wins, will be used to determine the winning share in this market. Resolution will occur after official results are released by the league organizers and independently verified. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's outcome to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either BC Roma SPQR or Derthona Basket would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching changes or reports of internal team issues could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could influence trading activity and alter the odds.