TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between BC Dubai and Zadar in the ABA League. Users are predicting which team will win the game, with potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for November 2 at 10:30AM ET: If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the Zadar win, the market will resolve to "Zadar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game as scheduled. If postponed within 48 hours, markets stay open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution. Kalshi states no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the BC Dubai vs. Zadar game. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform impacts how efficiently information is incorporated into the price. Currently, Polymarket shows a higher level of trading activity, potentially leading to a more refined price signal compared to Kalshi.