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Baylor vs UCF: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Baylor vs UCF?

Volume:
$3,977,011

Baylor wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Baylor wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 11:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,109,227
N/A
N/A
$659,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$485,195
N/A
N/A
$366,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$337,982
N/A
N/A
$186,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$232,473
N/A
N/A
$163,926
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142,291
N/A
N/A
$75,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127,377
N/A
N/A
$75,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 26.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,979
N/A
N/A
$44,447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 29.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,313
N/A
N/A
$55,625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112,487
N/A
N/A
$63,439
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106,641
N/A
N/A
$45,791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98,992
N/A
N/A
$61,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 17.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,861
N/A
N/A
$44,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 20.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,313
N/A
N/A
$47,442
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 16.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,203
N/A
N/A
$41,890
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,183
N/A
N/A
$32,573
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,443
N/A
N/A
$37,449
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 11.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,434
N/A
N/A
$39,432
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,963
N/A
N/A
$26,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,582
N/A
N/A
$85,361
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,208
N/A
N/A
$73,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 32.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,281
N/A
N/A
$46,407
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,284
N/A
N/A
$48,937
Settled
No
kalshi

Baylor wins by over 35.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,781
N/A
N/A
$22,013
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,977
N/A
N/A
$15,587
Settled
No
kalshi

UCF wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,327
N/A
N/A
$11,455
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks whether Baylor will win their college football game against UCF by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Baylor winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Baylor vs UCF college football game, with resolution details found in the provided resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if UCF wins by more than 10.5 points, and the resolution date estimate is October 31, 2026, representing the end of the betting period following the game.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Baylor vs UCF college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. For markets where UCF is the potential winner, the condition is that UCF must win by more than the specified points. Conversely, for markets where Baylor is the potential winner, Baylor must win by more than the specified points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread condition.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Baylor vs UCF spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,820,462. The total volume traded on this market is $3,965,605. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how others are predicting the margin of victory in this college football matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often converging towards more accurate probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity in this market. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant betting action occurs, as differing information and opinions are weighed.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Baylor vs UCF game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that particular spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Baylor vs UCF game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will receive $1 per share for winning contracts and lose their initial investment on losing contracts.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Baylor or UCF would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift market sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.