TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Baylor and UCF. Outcomes depend on which team scores sufficiently more points than the other during that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Baylor vs UCF college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If UCF wins by exceeding specific point margins—from over 1.5 points up to over 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Baylor wins by margins exceeding 2.5 to 10.5 points, the relevant market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional analysis, potentially indicating undervalued or overvalued opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter of the Baylor vs UCF game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current top market on Kalshi is for UCF wins 3Q by over 6.5 points.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Baylor vs UCF game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baylor or UCF teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.