TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Baylor or Kansas specifically within the third quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Baylor vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Baylor vs Kansas 3rd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the probability of each spread occurring, and the volume traded shows the level of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the 3rd quarter spread in the Baylor vs Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baylor or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even public perception based on pre-game analysis could also impact trading activity. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions, and late-breaking news regarding player availability could lead to substantial shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.