TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Baylor and Kansas. It provides a way to bet on short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends solely on the scoring during the designated quarter.
If Kansas wins the 2nd quarter of the Baylor vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor wins the 2nd quarter of the Baylor vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Baylor vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may prioritize attracting action on both sides, whereas this market focuses purely on the perceived probability of an outcome. Over time, the odds in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, providing insight into the liquidity and potential price movement. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second quarter of the Baylor vs Kansas game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scores as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a shift in team dynamics, could also drive significant price changes. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could create momentum in either direction. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to its resolution.