TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Baylor or Kansas specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Baylor vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets where Baylor is the favorite, resolution occurs if Baylor wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where Kansas is the favorite, resolution occurs if Kansas wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the second half. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that are more accurate than those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action, while this market directly represents what traders believe will happen. You may find that this market’s implied probability differs from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes the most likely spread will be, factoring in all available information and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second half of the Baylor vs Kansas game will be used to determine winning contracts. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will pay out, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baylor or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports about coaching strategies, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the game, could also play a role. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely outcome has the potential to move this market.