TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and discrepancies can occur due to varying information and biases.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a constantly updated assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Baylor vs. Arizona State game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Baylor win, an Arizona State win—is the accurate result based on this official data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions or even public sentiment—as reflected in social media or expert analysis—can also play a role. As the game approaches, updates on team lineups and pre-game analysis will likely have the most significant impact on trading activity and the overall price of shares in this market.