TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Baylor vs. Arizona State
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Baylor vs. Arizona State?

Volume:
$888,303

Baylor vs. Arizona State

 - Polymarket

Baylor vs. Arizona State - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:25 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Baylor vs. Arizona State

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$358,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 30.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,509
N/A
N/A
$25,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 34.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,810
N/A
N/A
$20,799
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 27.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,120
N/A
N/A
$20,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 24.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,002
N/A
N/A
$27,159
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 71.5

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,261
N/A
N/A
$8,620
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 65.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,212
N/A
N/A
$4,212
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,487
N/A
N/A
$2,279
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 228

Intro

This market tracks the total number of touchdowns scored in the Baylor versus Arizona State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability that the total will be Over 7.5 touchdowns is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official game result as reported by NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 3rd, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms differ in their resolution sources and the specific metrics they focus on. Polymarket centers on the overall game result, while Kalshi focuses on in-game statistics.Hero tip: Traders should be aware that the different focuses of each platform may lead to differing outcomes. Consider the statistical likelihood of specific in-game events versus the overall game result when making trading decisions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official game result (win/loss/spread) as reported by NCAA.com, including overtime. Resolution occurs after the game is completed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on in-game statistics (points scored, first downs, etc.) in the first half of the game. Resolution occurs after the game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Baylor and Arizona State in the first half of their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 41.5 points. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard consolidates predictions about the Baylor vs. Arizona State game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, total volume across these platforms is $888,303, with $849,779 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, though individual platforms may have differing probabilities and market structures. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the prediction market for this game, aggregating insights from various sources to give you a broader perspective on likely results.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders continuously update their forecasts based on evolving signals. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced view of the likely result of the Baylor vs. Arizona State game.