TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Baylor versus Arizona State college football game will exceed 62.5. Currently, the probability of Over 62.5 points scored is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the total points scored in the game, as reported according to the rules specified by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if the teams collectively score more than 51.5 points when the game is played on October 3, 2026, with final resolution occurring by October 4, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Baylor vs Arizona State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceeds the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, tends to reflect more purely the probability of the event occurring, though discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing whether the total points scored in the Baylor vs Arizona State game will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems a fair representation of the likelihood. The current price indicates the cost to buy a 'yes' contract (over) or sell a 'no' contract (under).
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Baylor vs Arizona State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total exceeds or falls below the relevant threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baylor or Arizona State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.